Wednesday, May 29, 2019

CVS Is Hosting an Investor Day as the Stock Swoons. Here’s the Case for a 40% Surge.


By Jack Hough May 29, 2019 5:45 a.m. ET
Side effects of holding CVS stock have included regret and loss of patience. At a recent $53, it is going for half its 2015 peak. Last month, Barron’s called CVS stock a buy in a cover story. The next week could prove pivotal in determining whether shares are indeed headed for recovery.
CVS (ticker: CVS) will host an investor day on Tuesday, June 4, wherein it will discuss the results of its HealthHub tests in Houston. HealthHub is a new kind of CVS store that offers greatly expanded health-care services. CVS offers walk-in care now through its MinuteClinic chain within stores. HealthHub stores are likely to add more examination rooms, health-care workers and services; include in-store blood labs for immediate test results; and offer nutrition tracking, sleep tests, yoga classes, and more. CEO Larry Merlo told Barron’s that he hopes to use the investor meeting to discuss early HealthHub performance and the best path forward for turning CVS into more of a health-services company.
What we know going into next week is that CVS faces a long list of factors that could subtract from near-term growth. Some of these appear fleeting, like CVS’s pharmacy-benefits manager, Caremark, having to make good on drug rebate guarantees that were made when the inflation rate for drugs was expected to be higher. Some could be more lasting, like broad pressure on policy makers to bring health-care costs under control. CVS’s purchase of Aetna last year, and its push into retail health-care services, are meant to turn it into a company that cannot only weather health-care deflation, but profit from it.

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