With stocks in free fall for most of 2022, the
market for new stocks, or initial public offerings, has been all but dead. In
fact, it's on track to be the slowest year for IPOs in three decades, according
to Renaissance Capital, which runs a popular IPO-tracking
ETF. According to Renaissance:
It was the worst third quarter for new issuers
in over a decade, with 25 IPOs raising $2.4 billion as the 2022 US IPO market
remains on track to raise the lowest proceeds of any year in our firm’s 30+
year history.
That makes tomorrow's trading debut of Porsche
particularly notable. The luxury car maker is being spun out of Volkswagen.
Demand for Porsche cars remains strong, with the luxury market mostly
withstanding an otherwise slowing consumer economy.
Tonight, Volkswagen
priced the
sale of Porsche stock at €82.50 per share, or $80, the high end of
the company's prior range. At that price, Porsche has a market value of about
$75 billion, raising roughly $9 billion for Volkswagen, which is selling 25% of
the stock. The stock will trade on the Frankfurt Stock Exchange.
Porsche's value now nearly matches VW's own
market value of about $80 billion, despite the parent companies' $275 billion
in annual sales. Tesla, it's worth noting, carries
a market value of about $900 billion, even though it will have estimated sales
of just $86 billion this year.
Barron's Andrew Bary
recently wrote that the Porsche IPO could be a catalyst for VW's stock:
Volkswagen (ticker: VOW3.Germany), the world’s
biggest auto maker in annual sales, at $275 billion, is a prime example. Its
U.S.-listed preferred shares of Volkswagen (VWAPY)—effectively
nonvoting common shares—are down 25% this year to $15, and trade for just four
times projected 2022 earnings of $3.50 per share. The shares yield 5% based on
VW’s annual dividend, paid earlier this year.
Volkswagen plans to address its low valuation
with an initial public offering in late September or early October of a 25%
stake in its Porsche division. A successful offering would be a positive
catalyst for VW’s stock.
You can read the rest of Andrew's story here
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