Wednesday, August 26, 2020

Another Tech Melt-up


By Matthew Klein |  Wednesday, August 26
Heads in the Cloud. It was a banner day for tech stocks, with the S&P 500 index gaining 1% thanks to massive gains at Netflix (12%), Adobe (9%), Facebook (8%), and, most notably, Salesforce.com, which gained a whopping 26% on the back of strong earnings and general enthusiasm for cloud software companies. Had Salesforce already been in the Dow Jones Industrial Average, the index would be about 400 points higher.
So far this year, Salesforce and Netflix are both up about 70% year-to-date, while Adobe is up 60% and Facebook is up 50%. Other large tech stocks, including Alphabet, Amazon.com, Microsoft, were up about 3% on the day, continuing their strong runs since the start of the year.
(Tesla isn’t in the S&P 500 because it doesn’t have a sufficient history of profitability, but it was up more than 6% on the day and is currently trading five times higher than what it was at the start of the year, with a market cap of more than $400 billion.)
The good news wasn’t limited to just U.S. tech. Europe’s Stoxx 600 index was up 0.9% today thanks to solid gains at companies such as SAP—which is also in the enterprise software business—as well as industrial companies such as Siemens and Linde. Canada’s TSX was also up 1%.
Yet the majority of the companies in the S&P 500 ended the day lower, with only 219 components gaining. Similarly, the Russell 2000 index of small cap stocks was down 0.7% on the day. The divergence is symptomatic of a broader phenomenon. Ever since the pandemic began, tech shares have benefited from the perception that software is destined to outperform when workers and consumers are stuck at home.
The big losers have been in such obvious sectors as airlines, cruise lines, casinos, oil companies, mall operators, and office landlords. Tellingly, those were among the biggest losers today, with the largest declines at Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings, Carnival, SL Green Realty, Vornado, Simon Property Group, Hess, Occidental Petroleum, Diamondback Energy, Apache, and Baker Hughes.
Other markets were mostly flat today, with currencies, interest rates, oil, and precious metals relatively unchanged. One development to keep an eye on: the ongoing rebound in inflation break-evens, which are now all trading higher than before the pandemic.




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